Tips Matter
AFC Futures
Alright NFL fans/bettors!! Who you got...who do you have representing the AFC & the NFC in the Super Bowl!?
Let's start in the AFC where most experts think it's a 3 horse race with the Baltimore Ravens being the favorites at +325. I'd say that's really short odds for a team that has a Quarterback (Lamar Jackson) that has proved time and time again that he can't handle the pressure.
Then you have the Buffalo Bills that are basically favorite 1B at +350. If Josh Allen can somehow, someway avoid Patrick Mahomes - well...who knows how far they can go.
Speaking of the Kansas City Chiefs...Mahomes & Co. were 4-1 this afternoon when I did a podcast episode covering this exact topic. Three hours later they are down to +375. The Chiefs are one bad 2nd half away from being a 6 time AFC Champion.
Some think the Cincinnati Bengals can overcome not having a defense to win the AFC again. And if you are one of those people - you can get Joe Burrow, Jamar Chase & Co at 11-1. I placed a small pizza money wager on the Bengals to win the Super Bowl at 20-1 back before the NFL Draft. But that was just because of the odds. It is hard for me to see them coming anywhere close to an AFC Champion because Zac Taylor is still their Head Coach. 1-13!!!! ONE AND THIRTEEN!!!! How are the Bengals 1-13 in Weeks 1 & 2 & "Coach" Taylor still has his job.
The Denver Broncos are 12-1 and with Sean Payton as Head Coach, you cannot count them out. All everyone is talking about is will Jayden Daniels of the Washington Redskins (yeah I said it) have a Sophomore slump like Houston Texans CJ Stroud!? Why is no one asking if Bo Nix is going to have a Sophomore slump?
Head Coach Jim Harbaugh & the LA Chargers are 13-1. Can QB Justin Herbert bounce back after that very forgettable playoff game last year?
Quarterback CJ Stroud of the Houston Texans are 14-1 to open up the 2025 NFL season. That's a far cry from being the 3rd bet favorite like they were going into last year. I believe the Stroud we saw last season is the real CJ Stroud. I thought he was highly overrated coming out of college & played way over his ability in his rookie year! But if you are a CJ believer, with that Texans D - you should be running to the window to bet 14-1 & 30-1 to win the whole thing!
The rest of the numbers:
Pittsburgh Steelers 20-1 only if A A RON turns the clock back a decade! But that D - OH MAMA!
Jacksonville Jaguars & New England Patriots 30-1
Miami Dolphins 40-1 - not a bad longshot if Tua doesn't get breathed on & Tyreek quits being a selfish donkey!
Los Angeles Raiders & Indianapolis Colts 50-1 - the Raiders Quarterback is Geno Smith LOL, the Colts are going with Daniel Jones LOL x 2
Tennessee Titans 75-1 The Titans took Cam Ward #1 overall in the 2025 NFL Draft. And if Ward was in the draft last year, he would've been the 5th QB drafted! Nuff said.
New York Jets 100-1 I'd rather have the Cleveland Browns at 150-1 with 97 year old Joe Flacco at QB than the Jets with Justin Fields.
My pick: I have told everyone I work with & basically anyone that will listen that you have to prove to me you can beat the Chiefs. But, for some reason I have a weird feeling and I am going to say it is finally their time!
AFC Champion: BUFFALO BILLS
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